"This book is about luck disguised and perceived as nonluck (that is, skills) and, more generally, randomness disguised and perceived as non-randomness (that is, determinism). It manifests itself in the shape of the lucky fool, defined as a person who benefited from a disproportionate share of luck but attributes his success to some other, generally very precise, reason."
Saturday, December 25, 2010
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, by Nassim Taleb
A colleague, Deidre Paknad of PSS Systems, lent me this book, and I'm pleased that she did. It is a breath of fresh air compared to the typical investment analysis text. I'll net it out by quoting from Mr Taleb's prologue:
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